East Asia Peace & Security Initiative Blogs
Our mission is educating the public, policymakers, and journalists on the changing security architecture in East Asia, as well as contributing policy analysis and commentary to inform the U.S. approach to regional affairs. Our primary focus is on the cross-strait relationship and how it shapes other regional issues involving the U.S. and China.
January 08, 2018 | Edward J. Barss, Monte R. Bullard, and Judith Norton (the authors are listed alphabetically)
All italicized texts are exact quotes from the AFNSS 2017.
We are China specialists. We support the America First National Security Strategy (AFNSS), but in this case, we offer a constructive critique of the document. Our review of the strategy was to identify America’s view of China so we could adjust our examination of China policy and, most importantly, the potential for conflict with China. Unfortunately, the AFNSS didn’t offer us much help.
December 14, 2017 | Monte R. Bullard and Judith Norton
Both Presidents Trump and Xi aim to make their countries great again. Their approaches have some areas of similarities and differences. In the 21st Century the U.S. needs to avoid underestimating China while ensuring that it sends the right message to China. We are neither friend nor foe. Rather we are competitors.
December 07, 2017 | Judith Norton and Monte R. Bullard
In a 2013 article titled “China’s Warfare Strategies and Tactics” (see here) published on The Diplomat, I contend that China uses traditional and high technology political warfare in order to send a political message to the target to achieve specific political goals. This is particularly true in cases involving sovereignty and territorial disputes. Understanding them is important if conflict is to be avoided. Since that publication, China has increased the speed and scope of these types of activities in the region. This article revisits the 2013 article in order to provide additional insight into China's use of such activities around Taiwan, in the East and South China Seas, and, now, around the Korean peninsula.
November 28, 2017 | Judith Norton
Similar to the concept of ‘one China’, the status quo is an established concept framing relations between the U.S., PRC, and Taiwan. As my original and preliminary research shows that ‘one China’ has five interpretations, my research shows that the status quo has several interpretations. To date, however, scholars and experts have not yet parsed the different definitions of status quo, the status quo policies, as well as how the status quo is tied to the 1992 Consensus. This article fills that gap.
October 18, 2017 | Judith Norton with contributions from Monte R. Bullard
North Korea’s pursuit of nuclear capabilities and their delivery systems is trouble for both the U.S. and China. The two powers have concerns regarding the North’s nuclear and missile proliferation. China is concerned about the impact of the continued advancement of North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs on the regional security architecture. For the U.S., North Korea poses a major challenge to nonproliferation, a cornerstone of American foreign policy. For both the U.S. and China, North Korea’s nuclear ambitions could serve as a structural force sparking a regional nuclear arms race with Japan in the lead, which in turn could reignite the nuclear ambitions of South Korea and, to a lesser extent, Taiwan… all of which have the indigenous capability to develop nuclear weapons.
September 11, 2017 | Monte R. Bullard and Judith Norton
Several incidents occurring over the past decade suggest that military ties between China, Taiwan and the U.S. are experiencing an increased pace of strategic evolution. The most recent incidents happening between the U.S., China and Taiwan, particularly in July and August, demonstrate more clearly that a pivot point has been reached in strategic warfare planning. The incidents show that the U.S. needs to study the potential impact of cyberwarfare and the use of EMP weapons as well as integrate them into U.S. strategies at a higher than prior priority.
June 18, 2017 | Monte R. Bullard
The following interview is based on an informal discussion with a former senior official in Taiwan who is concerned that there are forces within Taiwan that could lead to instability and, in collusion with the U.S., potentially a military confrontation with China. The interviewee underscores the importance of the findings of my e-book Strait Talk: An In-depth Analysis of China-Taiwan-U.S. Relations, that the optimal solution is for the next generations to find an answer to the Taiwan-China issue and it should be found by the young people on both sides of the strait.