PREVENTING NUCLEAR WAR BETWEEN CHINA AND THE U.S. OVER TAIWAN
  • Welcome
  • E-Books
    • Strait Talk >
      • Chapter 1: Historical, Cultural, Legal, and Geographical Factors
      • Chapter 2: The Political Factor
      • Chapter 3: The Economic Factor
      • Chapter 4: The Military Factor
      • Chapter 5: The Issues
      • Chapter 6: The Negotiations
      • Chapter 7: Conclusions
      • Appendices
      • Images
    • An Analysis of China's National Interests
    • One China, Five Interpretations
  • Blogs
  • Cross-Strait Info
    • Cross-Strait Timeline >
      • 2018-2019
      • 2016-2017
      • 2000-2015
      • 1980-1999
      • 1950-1979
      • 1911-1949
      • pre 1911
    • Official Documents >
      • Official Documents Library
      • 中国人民共和国​
      • 中華民國 (台湾)
    • Major Actors >
      • PRC
      • ROC
      • US
      • Japan
    • Military Balance
    • Political Warfare
    • Key Issues >
      • 1992 Consensus
      • Anti-Secession Law
      • One China
      • 'One Country, Two Systems'
      • Status Quo
      • Taiwan Independence
      • Taiwan Strait Crises
      • U.S. Arms Sales
      • Use of Force
    • Cooperation >
      • ROC
      • PRC
      • Signed Agreements
      • Cross-Strait Links
      • Peace Proposal
      • Military Talks
    • Glossary
    • Additional Resources on Cross-Strait Relations >
      • Books
      • Reports, Articles & Interviews
      • Multimedia
  • Photos
    • A Photographic Journey Through Old China
What's New

EAST ASIA PEACE & SECURITY INITIATIVE

Picture
Picture
Picture

​EAST ASIA PEACE & SECURITY
INITIATIVE

Our primary mission is educating the public, policymakers, and journalists on the changing regional security architecture, as well as contributing policy analysis and commentary to inform the U.S. approach to regional affairs.  In particular, we focus on PRC-Taiwan relations and the role of the U.S. in that relationship, as well as how the evolving PRC-Taiwan-U.S. dynamic can shape regional issues involving the U.S. and the PRC such as the Korean Peninsula, the East and South China Seas, and so on. 

This value-free website contains two e-books and a third one is in progress. We  include a number of photographs we have taken in China, Taiwan, and North Korea.   The website publishes several evolving blogs about recent Northeast Asia issues, but focuses primarily on the impact on China-Taiwan-U.S. relations. Under “Cross-Strait Relations”, you will find a useful Chronology of China-Taiwan-U.S. interactions which is supported by a collection of official documents in English and Chinese. We also built country profiles of the four major actors: China, Taiwan, U.S. and Japan.  In this section, we identify “Key Issues" that cover areas of cooperation and conflict between the major actors. Finally, this section offers  additional resources that could be useful in any in-depth analysis of these topics.  Recently we added a new section to include “Other Regional Issues” - the THAAD problem, the discussion of Tactical Nuclear Weapons on the Peninsula, the East China Sea, the South China Sea, and evolving China-Taiwan-Vatican ties.  

​
Picture

E-BOOK: STRAIT TALK

Picture
Picture
Picture
EXCERPT FROM CHAPTER 2: ​
​Taiwan’s current insistence on China’s democratization is not without reason. China’s communist system has shown repeatedly that it cannot cope with the succession issue. ​

Strait Talk: An In-depth Analysis of China, Taiwan, US Relations

​written by
​COLONEL (RET.) MONTE R. BULLARD, PHD​
Picture
Picture
EXCERPT FROM CHAPTER 5: ​
​The definition of one China became increasingly important to the point that actions perceived by China to be contrary to the one China principle have interrupted the negotiation process.
Picture
Picture
EXCERPT FROM CHAPTER 4: ​
Just knowing that nearly all Chinese military actions are designed more for the political consequences than for military results will help to predict future military actions and to prevent serious miscalculations in a future conflict.
Picture
Picture
EXCERPT FROM CONCLUSION: ​
Taiwan is not like Hong Kong. China could have recovered Hong Kong at any time during the past fifty years through military means, but they did not. They could also have accomplished a takeover through non-military means. They could literally have cut off Hong Kong's water. China cannot easily recover Taiwan by military means without destroying all they are trying to recover. Further, unification as a result of military means would result in a part of China that would continue to feel intimidated and oppressed as if by an alien power. It would create another area, like Tibet and Xinjiang, that would be a source of perpetual dissent and potential uprising.

E-BOOK: CHINA'S NATIONAL INTEREST

Picture
Picture
Picture
EXCERPT FROM CONCLUSION
We must deepen reform and strengthen our power to realize national interests. Attaining national interests depends on power. Without power, achieving national interests can only be a beautiful dream. For China, deepening reform is the basis for strengthening power. 
Picture

An Analysis of China's National Interest

written by
YAN XUETONG

CROSS-STRAIT
RELATIONS

Picture
Picture
CROSS-STRAIT TIMELINE
2018
2016-2017​​
2000-2015​
1980-1999​​
1950-1979​​​
1911-1949​​
Pre-1911
Picture
OFFICIAL DOCUMENTS
English
​​Chinese (PRC)
Chinese (ROC)
Picture
​MAJOR ACTORS
​PRC
ROC
U.S
Japan
Picture
KEY ISSUES
1992 Consensus
Anti-secession Law
One China
One Country, Two Systems
Status Quo
Taiwan Independence
Taiwan Strait Crises
U.S. Arms Sales
Use of Force​​
Picture
ADDITIONAL RESOURCES
Books & Chapters ​​
Multimedia 
Reports, Articles &
​Interviews
Picture
MAJOR ACTORS
Overview
ROC
PRC
Signed Agreements​
Picture
Cross-Strait Links
Peace Proposal
Military Talks
CEO Summit

BLOG POSTS

Picture
Picture

The Chinese Expansionist Threat

Picture
In general, experts tend to perceive that a rising China poses a threat to international peace and security.  Some experts state the threat comes from expansionism, while others assert the threat comes from China’s easy lending to developing nations around the world, which, now, because of China’s loan policies, face potential debt crises. According to many experts, both threats pose an imminent threat to U.S. national interests.    In this article, we examine the Chinese threat of expansionism, which is perceived as one of China’s strategies to attain its ultimate foreign policy goals of taking over the world.  However, we disavow the mainstream narrative that Chinese expansionism poses a threat to international peace and stability.  We contend that the experts’ focus on Chinese expansionism as a threat to peace and security in neighboring areas such as the South China Sea, the East China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, as well as farther afield, is a red herring, because China’s overall strategy is not territorial expansion.  In this series, we aim to refute these types of China threat theories in order to identify more likely Chinese international aspirations that pose a challenge to the current U.S.-led world order.  China’s strategy, in fact, can be found in the advancement of legal, cultural, political, and, in particular, economic relationships, that drive China’s foreign policy goals and are clearly inimical to some U.S. national interests.  These different aspirations will be examined in future blogs while this article focuses on ​expansion threat theory.
Picture
Picture
Picture

American Freedom of Navigation Operations in the South China Sea

Picture
American Freedom of Navigation Operations (FONOP) policy in the South China Sea, sometimes focused on the Spratly Islands (Nansha) and Paracel Islands (Xisha) within the South China Sea, is clearly based on incomplete information.  A review of official reports, like the America First National Security Strategy (AFNSS) and the Defense Department’s Annual Report to Congress 2018 on China’s Military Power, indicates that the government writers and reviewers of these documents when describing whether China is a strategic threat or a strong economic competitor almost always come to the conclusion or just assumed that China is a threat.  We note that even the Harvard Belfer Center paints China as a threat as do two excellent articles in the Winter 2018 edition of the Naval War College Review.[1] We have already written one blog that offers a critique of the AFNSS.  This blog is to point out weaknesses in some official and academic reports.

China's New World Order

As Xi Jinping made clear in his recent discussion with Vladimir Putin at the Eastern Economic Forum, China aims to “oppose unilateralism and trade protectionism, to create a new type of international relations.[1]” Or as China State Councilor Wang Yi put it: “China supports necessary reforms and the perfection of the current system, including the WTO, to make it fairer, more effective and more rational.[2]” These statements reflect a broader Chinese vision of ‘international accommodation,’ which would lead to a reformed multipolar international system, anchored in economic reality. A post-Western system where the world is ‘fairer’, ‘non-hegemonic’, and countries can pursue sovereignty without interference. This blog post examines China's New World Order.

Taiwan's Domestic Politics - A Potential Source of Instability

The following interview is based on an informal discussion with a former senior official in Taiwan who is concerned that there are forces within Taiwan that could lead to instability and, in collusion with the U.S., potentially a military confrontation with China.  The interviewee underscores the importance of the findings of my e-book Strait Talk: An In-depth Analysis of China-Taiwan-U.S. Relations, that the optimal solution is for the next generations to find an answer to the Taiwan-China issue and it should be found by the young people on both sides of the strait. ​
 

WHAT'S NEW

Picture

Blog Posts

  • The Chinese Expansionist Threat by Monte R. Bullard

  • The Diaoyu/Diaoyutai/Senkaku Island Dispute and its effects on US, Taiwan, China, and Japan by Edward J. Barss

  • American Freedom of Navigation Operations in the South China Sea by Monte R. Bullard
​
  • China's New World Order by Edward J. Barss

Cross-Strait News

  • In Blow to Beijing, Taiwan Re-elects Tsai Ing-wen as President
  • ​Taiwan’s 2020 Elections
  • Taiwan leader rejects China's offer to unify under Hong Kong model
  • Taiwan’s Anti-Infiltration Bill Sends Relations with China to New Low
  • China sails new aircraft carrier through Taiwan Strait​
  • ​Second Pacific nation in a week ditches Taiwan for Beijing
  • Solomon Islands Officials End Ties With Taiwan, Realign With China
  • Allies of Taiwan sign petition calling for its participation in UN
  • US warplane flies along dividing line between mainland China and Taiwan
  • Taiwan signs deal to purchase US$3.7 billion worth of US agricultural products
  • China Vows Sanctions On U.S. Firms For Arms Sales To Taiwan
  • Chinese military says Taiwan’s US$8 billion deal to buy US F-16 fighter jets is a waste of money because they will be ‘useless’ against the PLA
  • Trump admin formally approves fighter jet sale to Taiwan amid China trade fight
  • Taiwan put on US defence department list of ‘countries’ in latest move likely to goad China
  • Candidate Seeks Closer China Ties, Shaking Up Taiwan’s Presidential Race
  • China rages against Bolton meeting with Taiwan as anti-invasion drills begin on the island
  • U.S. arms sale request from Taiwan draws warning of "serious harm" from China
  • Chinese general tells US to stop using Taiwan, South China Sea to stir up trouble
  • China Again Blocks Taiwan’s Participation in World Health Meeting
​​
  • Taiwan applies to buy new fighter jets from US
  • Wu to speak in Los Angeles on the Indo-Pacific
  • U.S. Navy ships pass through strategic Taiwan Strait, riling China
 
  • ​Facing an aggressive Beijing, Taiwan's president issues a warning to the world​​
 
  • Taiwan foreign minister: reunification with China 'not an option'
  • Beijing intensifies lobbying of Pacific nations to recognise Taiwan as part of One China
  • Public Law No: 115-409 Asia Reassurance Initiative Act (December 31, 2018)
  • China Military Power: Modernizing a Force to Fight and Win
  • US Navy chief refuses to rule out sending carrier through Taiwan Strait despite China’s growing military capabilities
  • Taiwan live-fire military drills go ahead in face of growing pressure from Beijing
  • 'One country, two systems' is not viable for Taiwan: MAC
  • SEF reiterates it has final say on cross-strait matters
  • eSwatini - Taiwan's last friend in Africa
  • Taiwan appoints new Premier amid rising China tensions
  • Mike Pence warns 'China has been put on notice' in address to US ambassadors
  • Japan to deploy THAAD anti-missile system in Kagoshima Prefecture: report
  • Beijing ‘will keep military pressure on Taiwan’ after Xi Jinping’s call for unification
  • Taiwan’s President, Defying Xi Jinping, Calls Unification Offer ‘Impossible’
  • ​China Warns US, India Against Transfer Of Defence Technology To Taiwan
  • Xi Jinping says Taiwan 'must and will be' reunited with China
  • Xi proposes institutional arrangement for peaceful development of cross-Strait relations​
  • China's political formulas disallow ROC existence: MAC
  • Full text of President Tsai Ing-wen's New Year's Day Speech
  • Tsai issues ‘four musts’ on PRC ties
About us


Policies
Search
Copyright © 2018 The East Asia Peace & Security Initiative. All Rights Reserved. 
  • Welcome
  • E-Books
    • Strait Talk >
      • Chapter 1: Historical, Cultural, Legal, and Geographical Factors
      • Chapter 2: The Political Factor
      • Chapter 3: The Economic Factor
      • Chapter 4: The Military Factor
      • Chapter 5: The Issues
      • Chapter 6: The Negotiations
      • Chapter 7: Conclusions
      • Appendices
      • Images
    • An Analysis of China's National Interests
    • One China, Five Interpretations
  • Blogs
  • Cross-Strait Info
    • Cross-Strait Timeline >
      • 2018-2019
      • 2016-2017
      • 2000-2015
      • 1980-1999
      • 1950-1979
      • 1911-1949
      • pre 1911
    • Official Documents >
      • Official Documents Library
      • 中国人民共和国​
      • 中華民國 (台湾)
    • Major Actors >
      • PRC
      • ROC
      • US
      • Japan
    • Military Balance
    • Political Warfare
    • Key Issues >
      • 1992 Consensus
      • Anti-Secession Law
      • One China
      • 'One Country, Two Systems'
      • Status Quo
      • Taiwan Independence
      • Taiwan Strait Crises
      • U.S. Arms Sales
      • Use of Force
    • Cooperation >
      • ROC
      • PRC
      • Signed Agreements
      • Cross-Strait Links
      • Peace Proposal
      • Military Talks
    • Glossary
    • Additional Resources on Cross-Strait Relations >
      • Books
      • Reports, Articles & Interviews
      • Multimedia
  • Photos
    • A Photographic Journey Through Old China